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02 May

Weekly Commodity and Forex Technical Preview May 2nd to 6th, 2016

admin Forex Technical outlook 0 Comments

Weekly Technical Forecast 2nd May – 6th may 2016

Technical Forecast Pairs: EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY. The differentiation stuck between victory & disappointment in Forex trading is incredibly probable to depend on in the lead which currency pairs you decide to trade every week & not on the precise trading method you strength use to settle on trade entry & exits. Every week I am going to examine fundamentals, technical, & sentiment positions in sort to resolve which currency pairs is nearly everyone likely to make the easiest & a good number of commercial trading opportunities over this week.

EURUSD

EURUSD had an outstanding week, be carried on USD weak point to rally but was restricted by hard resistance. Will it bounce or break? 
 
GDP growth hit expectations by means of 0.6 percent q/q in the euro-area. Moreover, the unemployment rate is declining, with 10.2 percent. Still, the ECB’s authorization is apparent less attainable in the short term at slightest. Inflation chops down back to the negative region with -0.2 percent, underneath expectations. In addition core inflation neglect with +0.8 percent. However, the dollar’s poor concert is what flocks the pair elevated: the Fed is not actually into climbing rates soon & the greenback distorted.
 
Euro Vs. dollars made its method up but again unable to crack on top of the 1.146 level. It was a key resistance line in 2015 & thousand over the multi-year lows. 1.141 is puny resistance on the method up after functioning as such in the spring of 2016. The post-Draghi short was 1.078 substitutes 1.08 as support.  1.071 is the upcoming support line on the graph following provisionally capping the pairs in 2015 April.
 
EURUSD remains Neutral. Even as the ECB is clearly dissatisfied with the climb of the euro alongside the dollar & accordingly against the Chinese yuan.
 

GBPUSD

GBPUSD posted well-built gains for a next straight week, hiking 160 points. The pairs closed the week at the levels of 1.46 lines, its maximum level since February this year. This week’s things to see are the PMI reports. The dollar dropped piercingly subsequent the Fed statement, which through no mention of a June climb. US progress GDP came in at 0.5 percent, undersized the approximation. In the UK, beginning GDP posted gains of 0.4 percent, same the forecast.
 
GBPUSD unwrapped the week at 1.4443 levels. The pair rapidly touched a low down of 1.4401 levels, testing support area at 1.4413 levels. The pair after that reversed track & rose to a high of 1.467 levels. 
 
GBPUSD remains Bearish. The pound has appeared sharp in fresh weeks, although it’s been more of a case of wide dollar flaw rather than burly UK numbers. Will we see a descending correction? With the Federal Reserve out of the highlight, the pound might lose position if US indicators do better than UK figures this week.
 

USDJPY

The dollar goes down stridently following the Fed statement, which prepared no point out of a June climb. US progress GDP came in at 0.5 percent, short of the guess. The BoJ - Bank of Japan opted to stay on the sidelines, in spite of the stronger yen which has wound the Japanese export zone. USDJPY unlocked the week at 111.45 levels touches a high of 111.88 levels. The pair overturned directions & posted razor-sharp losses behind in the week, tumbling to a low of 106.14 levels, contravention support at 106.25 levels. USDJPY closed the last week at 106.23 levels.
 
USDJPY remains Neutral. By means of the pair posting enormous losses, we might be due for a downhill rectification. At the equivalent time, with the BoJ stays on the sidelines & not realize any easing, the yen has space to shift even upper.
 

XAUSUD

XSUUSD - Gold markets blasted to the upside throughout the path of the session on last Friday, contravention out & go-ahead resistance. By means of this being the case, the marketplace should very healthy try to reach towards the level of 1300, along with then possibly yet superior to that. Pullbacks be supposed to continue to propose values, & through that being the case the marketplace should carry on to discover buyers, with a marketplace that looks to be liability quite well due to the smoothness in the US dollars. We have no curiosity whatever in selling gold, & consider that a longer-term “buy-&-hold” condition is currently itself.
 

WTI – Crude Oil

WTI Crude Oil marketplace goes up during the last day on Friday, other than pulled back in sort to appearance a bit of a shooting star. The shooting star is certainly an awful negative candle, therefore, if we break downward underneath it I believe that we determination almost certainly pull rear to the 44 levels. The region was earlier resistance, so it is supposed to currently be supportive, so a supportive candle in that wide-ranging vicinity must be a buying break as it would be a persistence of the uptrend. At this moment in time, there’s actually not much in the mode of a negative sign consequently having said that we are just looking to buy this marketplace on pullbacks or crack over the top of the shooting star for the last Friday session. At this position in time, selling just appears to be very hard & more or less not possible.
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