05 Jun

Weekly Forex Technical Analysis on 5-9 JUNE 2017

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Today’s Key Events:-

#GBP- Services PMI @02:00 PM
Expect: 55.1 /// Previous:  55.8
#USD- ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI @07:30PM
Expect: 57.1 /// Previous: 57.5
The pair made an attempt to shift higher but never went too far. The key is the upcoming week is the ECB decision. Maybe Draghi raise the assessment.  ECB President Mario Draghi kept things impartial when spoken optimism regarding growth but uncertainties about inflation. Inflation certainly fell back; with core CPI moving back from the highest levels since 2013 at 1.2 percent to 0.9 percent. That was prepared by reports from Germany, France, & Spain. Subsequent reports concerning the ECB were already more positive, the sources said that Draghi & his contemporaries will likely improve their assessment of risk. In the US, the Fed is likely bearing to a June hike, but it might be a dovish one. EURUSD remains BULLISH.
The pair reversed directions & gained 70 points. The pair blocked at 1.2882 levels. This week’s highlights are Services PMI, the parliamentary election & Manufacturing Production. In the UK, manufacturing & construction PMIs maintains to point to expansion. More in the US, the CB Consumer Confidence report fell and fails to spot the estimate. Nonfarm Payrolls was a key distress, as the gain of 138K was well under expectations. 
The pair unlocks the week at 1.2928 levels & reached a low of 1.2767 levels, testing support at 1.2775 discussed previous week. The pair after that overturned directions & mounted to a high of 1.2921 levels. The pair ended the week at 1.2882 levels. GBPUSD remains BEARISH.
AUDUSD was unaffected previous week, closing at 0.7439 levels. This week’s major events are Private Capital Expenditures & Retail Sales. Australian Retail Sales posted a strong gain of 1.0 percent, easily thrashing the estimate. In the US, Nonfarm Payrolls was dull, as the gain of 138K was well under expectations. This weak interpretation allowed the Aussie to get well & hold its own against the US dollar previous week.
AUDUSD unlocked the week at 0.7442 levels & mounted to a high of 0.7476 levels, as resistance held at 0.7513 mentioned earlier week. The pair after that changed directions & dropped to a low of 0.737 levels late in the week. The pair finished the week at 0.7437 levels. AUDUSD remains NEUTRAL.
USDJPY was below pressure near the beginning in the week due to yet another missile test by North Korea. The yen attracts floods in times of difficulty, even if the trouble is in Japan’s neighborhood. The pair afterward advanced on positive data from the US, typically the ADP NFP. The final gust came from the US Nonfarm Payrolls was dull, as the gain of 138K was well under expectations. Japan releases its last GDP estimate for 1st Quarter of 2017. A small improve from 0.5 percent to 0.6 percent is anticipated.
Technically, the pair is the wide range between 110.20 to 111.60 levels. Both provides as double bottoms in the earlier period. Looking up, in the levels of 112.20 is resistance subsequent to capping the pair in April & May. It is go after by the round of 113 levels, which was a springboard on the way up. Additional resistance is at 113.60 levels which give out as resistance in the earlier period. USDJPY remains BEARISH.
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