Jul
Forex Key Events for Traders on Week 30, 2016
This week’s Significant News for EURUSD, GBP, AUD, NZD, & JPY.
- NBB Belgian Business Climate: Tuesday, 13:00. Even though coming from a small nation, this broad survey has some domination, especially as it turned positive previous month. The figures surprised with raise to +0.7 in earlier June, following few years of negative numbers. A slip back to aggravate conditions is likely. -0.7 is on the slots.
- German Consumer Climate: Wednesday, 6:00. German consumers are reacts more believe, with an amazing rise to 10.1 in last month. We might see a slide in this 2000 solid survey. 9.9 are expected.
- Monetary data: Wednesday, 8:00. The ECB handled to accelerate the development of money, but numbers have not been going anywhere quick of late. The M3 Money Supply put on an annual rate of 4.9 percent. Private Loans are improving 1.6 percent y/y. related paces are on the slots now: 5 percent in money supply & 1.7 percent in private loans expect.
- German CPI: on Thursday, throughout the morning from the different states with the all-European figures at 12:00. Value leads by 0.1 percent previous month, more or less as expected. Currently we get the preliminary data for this month, which has a huge impact on the all-European figure. +0.2 percent is anticipated.
- Spanish Unemployment Rate: Thursday, 7:00. The 4th largest economy in the euro-zone is especially huge at 21 percent in first quarter of 2016. It had already touched higher levels at the top of the crisis. A tiny drop is on the slots now: 20.5 percent.
- German Unemployment Change: on Thursday, @7:55. The continent’s biggest economy appreciates less unemployment. The figure of unemployed fell by 6K previous month, same to falls seen in last months. -3K is expected.
- French GDP: Friday, @5:30. The 2nd largest economy in the euro-zone appreciated solid growth in first quarter of 2016: 0.6 percents q/q according to the last figure. A lesser growth rate is on the slots now: 0.2 percent.
- German Retail Sales: Friday, 6:00. Consumer has been spending higher in Europe’s largest economy: 0.9 percent rose. A horizontal growth rate in the volume of sales is anticipated.
- French Consumer Spending: Friday, 6:45. Sales in France depressed with a drop of 0.7 percent earlier month. A rebound is likely at present but only just: 0.1 percent.
- Spanish GDP: Friday, 7:00. Although high unemployment, Spain appreciates solid growth. Well, this is built on decreasing prices. First quarters we saw a very steady growth rate of 0.8 percent. Perhaps a fairly lesser growth rate might be seen now: 0.7 percent is predicted. Spain is view for its solid growth & a slowdown might be worrying. Note that the nation will also release preliminary CPI for this July. The y/y numbers for June was -0.8 percent & -0.5 percent is predicted currently.
- CPI Flash Estimate: Friday, 9:00. Inflation or high correctly the lack thereof stands a big headache for the ECB. Following the major countries published their figures; it’s time for the all European numbers. The final numbers for June stood on 0.1 percent in the headline figures & 0.9 percent in core inflation. A repetition of both figures is anticipated.
- Flash GDP: Friday, 9:00. The euro-zone advanced by a very nice 0.6 percent rate in first quarter of 2016. A slower growth rate is expected currently: 0.3 percent q/q. Note that this figure will be adjusted with the German release.
- Unemployment Rate: Friday, 9:00. The unemployment rate is off the peaks, but yet elevated, at 10.1 percent according to the fresh read. The similar figure is on the slots now.
- Bank Stress Tests: Friday, 20:00. The European Banking Authority releases its stress test results among growing concerns regarding several banks in Europe. In Italy, Non-Performing Loans at Monte dei Paschi as well as more critical institutions will come under inquiry. Draghi recommended there should be state interference in Italy, adverse to the European stance. We will currently learn how bad the situation is. The EBA clarified that it studied its lessons from previous failures, such as believing the Irish banking system resilient only to look it crash shortly after in 2010.
- BBA Mortgage Approvals: on Tuesday, @8:30. This event gives a scenario of the level of activity in the housing sector. In May, the index improved to 42.2 thousand, taken out the expectations. A weaker reading is predicted in the June release, along a forecast of 40.2 thousand.
- Preliminary GDP: Wednesday, 8:30. The first of 3 GDP reports is the major event of the week. An unexpected reading can have a razor-sharp cause on the direction GBPUSD pair. Final GDP for first quarter posted a growth of 0.4 percent, under the initial readings. Preliminary GDP is anticipated to set a gain of 0.5 percent in the 2nd quarter.
- CBI Realized Sales: Wednesday, 10:00. This consumer spending index chops down to 4 points in June, well short of the estimates of 9 points. The downside trend is predicted to constant in July, with a forecast of 2 points.
- Nationwide HPI: on Thursday, @6:00. Housing price index has been stable, setting 3 straight readings of 0.2 percent. The forecasts for the July reading remain at a flat 0.0 percent.
- GfK Consumer Confidence: Thursday. 23:05. Solid consumer confidence often converts into consumer spending, a major drivers of economic growth. The index plunged to 9 points in previous month, its sharpest fell in December 2013. Another sharp reduce is predicted in July, with the forecasts remaining at -7 points.
- Net Lending to Individuals: Friday, 8:30. This index is related to consumer spending levels, as expanded borrowing regularly translates into solid consumer spending. The index jumped to GBP 4.3 billion, well over the forecast of GBP 2.9 billion. Small change is anticipated in the June release.
- CPI: Wednesday, 1:30. CPI is the primary indicator of consumer inflation & should be considered as a market-mover. The indicator surprised by placing reduces 0.2 percent in the Q1, short of anticipations. This marked the indexes 1st reduce since 2009. CPI is expected to bounce back in the Q2, with a forecast of 0.4 percent.
- Trimmed Mean CPI: Wednesday, 1:30. This index ignores the most uncertain items that are included in Trimmed Mean CPI. The index fell to 0.2 percent in Q1, short of the forecast of 0.5 percent. The forecast for Q2 remains at 0.4 percent.
- Import Prices: Thursday, @1:30. Import Prices set a sharp decrease of 3.0 percent in the Q1, well under the expectations. The markets are estimating a solid bounce back in the Q2, with a prediction of 1.6 percent.
- PPI: on weekend, Friday, 1:30. PPI measures inflation in the producing sector. The index depressed in the Q1, coming in at -0.2 percent, which was short of the estimates of +0.2 percent. The expectations for second quarter remains at +0.2 percent.
- Building Consents: Thursday, 22:45. This index has comes out less volatile of late & gives a good indicator of the housing sector. It slid 0.9 percent previous time.
- ANZ Business Confidence: Friday, 1:00. Business confidence rebounded from the ground & hit 20.2 points in June. A similar figure is on the slots now.
- Household Spending: Thursday, @23:30. This index sustains to struggle, as it has placed only one gain from September 2015. The index reduced 1.1 percent in May, & a fall of 0.4 percent is expected in the June publishes.
- Tokyo Core CPI: on Thursday, 23:30. This is the major event of the week for Japan & should be considered as a market-mover. The gauge has posted 6 straight decreases, denoting to blow in Japan. The forecast for the July reading remains at -0.4 percent.
- Retail Sales: Thursday, 23:50. Retail Sales is the fundamental index of consumer spending, & an unpredicted reading can have a solid effect on the movement of USDJPY pair. The index has handled just one gain from November 2015, and reduce of 1.9 percent in May was the sharpest fall in around a year. Once again weak reading is anticipated in June, with a forecast of -1.2 percent.
- BoJ Monetary Policy Statement: Friday, weekend Tentative. The BoJ will release its monetary policy statement. It’s not shows that the bank will able additional easing measures, despite with the economy gripped by collapse, there is solid pressure on the bank to take some action.
- BoJ Outlook Report: Monday, 5:00. This report, released every quarter of the year, gives details of economic conditions & inflation, which are major factors in determining monetary policy.
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